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Patricia Traina#84 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 26, 2026

Traina expects Odell Beckham Jr. to make the Giants' 53-man roster, and believes Jalin Hyatt will not make the roster and is headed to injured reserve. They also suggest one or both of Theo Johnson and Tanner Conner may miss the preseason finale.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#84Patricia Traina’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Patricia Traina said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
he's probably closer to having a 95% chance of avoiding the Turk on Sunday.
Patricia Traina, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Nabers Exits Practice Early, But John Harbaugh Says There "Was No Injury"
The original
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  1. SaidAug 26
  2. GradedSep 25–Oct 25
  1. 1Jalin Hyatt to make the roster“Hyatt, whose chances of making the roster weren't very strong to begin with, has been sidelined most of the training camp and appears to be heading to IR.”
  2. 2Odell Beckham Jr. to make the roster“Receiver Odell Beckham Jr. began the week with a 50/50 chance of making the 53-man roster. But between the season-ending ACL injury to Calvin Austin III and Beckham's own hard work, he's probably closer to having a 95% chance of avoiding the Turk on Sunday.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jalin Hyatt to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls1 week on a 531001000
Odell Beckham Jr. to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsJalin HyattNew York Giants

    Jalin Hyatt to make the roster

    What happened1 week on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalin Hyatt
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    7
    weeks on the practice squad:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Roster Spot CallsOdell Beckham Jr.New York Giants

    Odell Beckham Jr. to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Odell Beckham Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

Who this take is about

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