Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 7, 2025
Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. They also predict Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Colin Cowherd said
I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 2 - Prediction for the big game on Sunday
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidFeb 7, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Sep 18, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Score Predictions | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Position Group Rankings | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Super Bowl Picks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
15 checkable claims — 7 position group rankings, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 57.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Trade and Signing Calls1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“I think the Raiders are in play, usc Pete Carroll. If the money is right, I think the Raiders are in play.”
Ended up with SEAcalled LV0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Depth Chart Calls1 hit · 1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Davante may be the most talented number two receiver he and t Higgins in the NFL.”
No. 1called No. 2 · by receptions91.67Hit91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- DeVonta Smith
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“I can see Pete Carroll saying, listen, we're gonna give shaduor the controls for a year”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Positional Finishes1 close call · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
A.J. Brown to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards
“AJ Brown is a top three to four receiver in the league.”
Finished #58called #4 · by passing yards0Miss0 − 33.33 naive = −33.33 × 1 difficulty = −33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −33.33
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 66
- actual finish:
- 58
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 4
Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.”
Finished #7called #1 · by passing yards50Close50 − 91.67 naive = −41.67 × 1 difficulty = −41.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −41.67
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 1
Score Predictions1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia 27
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
14.29Miss14.29 − 62.56 naive = −48.27 × 1 difficulty = −48.28 skill
Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 30–27 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 3) and more points (57).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 22-40
- skill:
- −48.28
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 14.29
- baseline:
- 62.56
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Position Group Rankings3 hits · 2 misses · 2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
“We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- HOU
- unit:
- defensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- DET
- unit:
- wide_receiver
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey”
0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- SF
- unit:
- tight_end
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- BAL
- unit:
- running_back
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.”
0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- BUF
- unit:
- offensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Super Bowl Picks1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.”
PHI won itpicked KC50Close50 − 50 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mock Draft Picks1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More position group rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Gregg Rosenthal · Position Group Rankings · Close 75
In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. They also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver.Nick Shook · Position Group Rankings · Miss 0
Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. They also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.Jamie Erdahl · Position Group Rankings · Los Angeles Rams · Hit 80
Erdahl ranked their top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth.