Colin Cowherd· Feb 7, 2025
Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. He also predicts Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft.
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
15 checkable claims — 7 position group rankings, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 57.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“I think the Raiders are in play, usc Pete Carroll. If the money is right, I think the Raiders are in play.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Davante may be the most talented number two receiver he and t Higgins in the NFL.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- DeVonta Smith
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
A.J. Brown to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards
“AJ Brown is a top three to four receiver in the league.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-33.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -33.33
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 66
- actual finish:
- 58
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 4
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia 27
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-40
- skill:
- -48.28
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 14.29
- baseline:
- 62.56
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 91.67-41.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- HOU
- unit:
- defensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- DET
- unit:
- wide_receiver
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- SF
- unit:
- tight_end
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BAL
- unit:
- running_back
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BUF
- unit:
- offensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Super Bowl PicksKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
“let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group RankingsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
“So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersFeb 7, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drops”
“I think Shador Sanders drops.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“I can see Pete Carroll saying, listen, we're gonna give shaduor the controls for a year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
More position group rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich EisenPosition Group RankingsClose · 75Eisen ranked his top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth.
- Gregg RosenthalPosition Group RankingsClose · 75In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. He also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver.
- Nick ShookPosition Group RankingsMiss · 0Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.
- Brandon GrahamPosition Group RankingsMiss · 0Graham ranked his top five wide receiver duos with the Eagles first, and predicted Philadelphia returns to the Super Bowl, the Rams make the playoffs again, and picked the Commanders' duo over the Cowboys' new pairing.
- Kyle BrandtPosition Group RankingsClose · 40Kyle Brandt ranked his top five NFL wide receiver duos, deliberately excluding newly formed pairings, with Cincinnati first and Tampa Bay fifth.
- Jamie ErdahlPosition Group Rankings · Los Angeles RamsHit · 80Erdahl ranked her top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth.