Bryan DeArdo#4 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 12, 2026
The CBS Sports preview picks the Jets to beat the Titans in their Week 1 matchup in Nashville, reasoning that Geno Smith's track record gives New York the edge in a close, low-scoring game.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Bryan DeArdo said
If Smith does his part on Sunday, it should be enough for the Jets to win what should be a competitive Week 1 game.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Titans vs. Jets: Robert Saleh makes debut as Tennessee coach against team that fired him
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 12
- PlayedSep 13
- GradedSep 15
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksNew York Jets
New York Jets to beat Titans
What happenedJets 23–10Jets at Titans100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillClosing line (Sep 13): Titans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Jets 48%, Titans 52%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NYJ
- score:
- 23-10
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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