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Ed Kracz· Oct 18, 2026

Previewing Week 6, Kracz picks the Panthers to beat the Eagles in Philadelphia, citing Jalen Hurts' absence, Tanner McKee starting, a depleted backfield and a trend against teams coming off an international game.

“Panthers 20, Eagles 14”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 88.1 out of 100, against 23.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Carolina Panthers 20 — Eagles 14

    “Verdict Panthers 20, Eagles 14”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 23.81+110.57 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    25-14
    skill:
    110.57
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    23.81
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 6) and fewer points (34).

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