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Pete Prisco· Nov 5, 2026

Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Eagles late in their NFC East rivalry game, 22-20, with Philadelphia's defense playing well against J.J. McCarthy.

“Pick: Giants 22, Eagles 20.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 85.7 out of 100, against 31.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New York Giants 22 — Eagles 20

    “But the Giants win it late. Pick: Giants 22, Eagles 20.”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 31.3+84.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    84.89
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    31.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 22–20 calls a closer game (Giants by 2) and more points (42).

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