Sam Monson· Nov 5, 2026
Monson walked through the Raiders' remaining schedule game by game, projecting losses to San Francisco, Seattle, Denver (twice) and Kansas City with wins over the Chargers, Titans and Cardinals for five to seven wins; he also said the Chiefs beat the Jets, picked the Giants to win at Philadelphia, expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota.
“They're about to go o and three because they face San Francisco, Seattle, Denver.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks, 1 availability call, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Giants at Eagles 14 calls
- Jets at Chiefs 20 calls
- Raiders at 49ers 12 calls
- Seahawks at Raiders 2 calls
- Raiders at Broncos 7 calls
- Chargers at Raiders 1 call
- Titans at Raiders 3 calls
- Raiders at Cardinals 1 call
- Raiders at Chiefs 1 call
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 5, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders
“They're about to go o and three because they face San Francisco, Seattle, Denver.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 17-38
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsNov 5, 2026
New York Giants to beat Eagles
“Giants to win and cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 19-11
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3 · favorite pick, Giants 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
“I think the Chiefs win, but I think the Jets keep it within 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 12-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
“and then they'll lose to Kansas City at the end of the season”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersNov 5, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with ? wins
“So what does that give them? I think two, three, four. Six wins? Five, six, seven wins.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersNov 5, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Tennessee
“they'll win against Tennessee”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 5, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Raiders
“They're about to go o and three because they face San Francisco, Seattle, Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersNov 5, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Arizona
“they'll win against Arizona”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsBrandon AiyukNov 5, 2026
Brandon Aiyuk to move — “gets cut”
“I would assume the third one is the most likely thing to happen... he almost certainly shows up to force them to cut him, and then he's available for nothing.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“for this game you really think we're going to see Wentz... Nope. I think we're going to get Wentz. (Week 9 vs. Buffalo)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersNov 5, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Chargers
“they'll get a win against the Chargers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
“they'll lose to Denver again”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
“They're about to go o and three because they face San Francisco, Seattle, Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.