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Donald Gooch· Oct 11, 2026

Predicts a 42-10 Bears rout with two rushing touchdowns and over 100 rushing yards for D'Andre Swift, a short-yardage score and 50 rushing yards for Roschon Johnson, just over 200 passing yards and a touchdown to Colston Loveland from Tyson Bagent, two sacks for Sweat plus one each for Booker and Dayo, and an interception for Muhammed.

“it is the Bears in a rout: 42 – 10”

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One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 31 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Chicago Bears 42 — Packers 10

    “it is the Bears in a rout: 42 – 10.”

    Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 50-33.9 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −33.9
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    30.95
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    32

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 42–10 calls a bigger Bears win (by 32) and more points (52).

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