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Ryan McCrystalApr 18, 2023

In their most recent mock draft, McCrystal projected specific first-round (and, for teams without first-rounders, Day 2/3) selections for all 32 teams in the 2023 NFL Draft, including Bryce Young at No. 1 to Carolina and Will Anderson at No. 2 to Houston.

Published in writing · Sharp Football AnalysisRead the original

15 of 36picks landed15 hits · 14 close calls · 7 misses · all settled
90.44The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+40.44Skillthe mock as a whole
60.5Per pickaverage, out of 100
0Went undraftedeach a miss

What Ryan McCrystal said

The Panthers are predicted to draft Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick (#1 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Ryan McCrystal, the lead quote
Where it was published
Sharp Football Analysis
The piece
Biggest 2023 Draft Needs & Predictions: All 32 NFL Teams
  1. SaidApr 18, 2023
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 1131260
Round 21100
Round 31110
All151470

How the mock scored

36 checkable claims — 36 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 68 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 36 have settled, averaging 60.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 199 →199later
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed. Faint rules mark the rounds.

The mock as a whole

90.44this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40.44better than naive1difficulty+40.44skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–3113 hits · 12 close calls · 6 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
1CARBryce YoungQB1100
2HOUWill Anderson Jr.EDGE396
3ARIParis Johnson Jr.OT688
4INDC.J. StroudQB292
5SEATyree WilsonEDGE792
6DETChristian GonzalezCB1762
7LVDevon WitherspoonCB592
8ATLLukas Van NessEDGE1381
9CHIBroderick JonesOT1481
10PHIJalen CarterDT996
11TENPeter SkoronskiOT11100
12HOUJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2071
13NYJNolan SmithEDGE3048
14NEJoey Porter Jr.CB3246
15GBMyles MurphyEDGE2857
16WASDarnell WrightOL1077
17PITBryan BreseeDL2959
18DETMichael MayerTE3548
19TBAnthony RichardsonQB452
20SEAJohn Michael SchmitzC5720
21LACDalton KincaidTE2584
22BALDeonte BanksCB2492
23MINKelee RingoCB1053
24JAXBrian BranchS4540
25NYGJoe TippmannC4346
26DALJordan AddisonWR2388
27BUFBijan RobinsonRB844
28CINDarnell WashingtonTE936
29NOTrenton SimpsonLB868
30PHIO'Cyrus TorrenceOG5928
31KCDawand JonesOT1113
Round 2 · picks 32–631 hit · 1 close callShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
36LARBJ OjulariEDGE4181
51MIAMatthew BergeronOL3857
Round 3 · picks 64–1021 hit · 1 close call · 1 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
67DENGervon Dexter Sr.DT5355
74CLEIsrael AbanikandaRB1435
99SFNick SaldiveriOT10384

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.