Ryan McCrystalApr 18, 2023
In their most recent mock draft, McCrystal projected specific first-round (and, for teams without first-rounders, Day 2/3) selections for all 32 teams in the 2023 NFL Draft, including Bryce Young at No. 1 to Carolina and Will Anderson at No. 2 to Houston.
Published in writing · Sharp Football AnalysisRead the original
What Ryan McCrystal said
The Panthers are predicted to draft Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick (#1 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
- Where it was published
- Sharp Football Analysis
- The piece
- Biggest 2023 Draft Needs & Predictions: All 32 NFL Teams
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 18, 2023
- GradedAug 5, 2026
Box score, round by round
HitCloseMissWaitingHow the mock scored
36 checkable claims — 36 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 68 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 36 have settled, averaging 60.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Mock against the draft
The mock as a whole
The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.
Every pick’s score
Draft board
HitCloseMissWaitingRound 1 · picks 1–3113 hits · 12 close calls · 6 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
| Pick | Team | Player | Pos | Went | Verdict | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | Bryce Young | QB | 1 | 100 | |
| 2 | HOU | Will Anderson Jr. | EDGE | 3 | 96 | |
| 3 | ARI | Paris Johnson Jr. | OT | 6 | 88 | |
| 4 | IND | C.J. Stroud | QB | 2 | 92 | |
| 5 | SEA | Tyree Wilson | EDGE | 7 | 92 | |
| 6 | DET | Christian Gonzalez | CB | 17 | 62 | |
| 7 | LV | Devon Witherspoon | CB | 5 | 92 | |
| 8 | ATL | Lukas Van Ness | EDGE | 13 | 81 | |
| 9 | CHI | Broderick Jones | OT | 14 | 81 | |
| 10 | PHI | Jalen Carter | DT | 9 | 96 | |
| 11 | TEN | Peter Skoronski | OT | 11 | 100 | |
| 12 | HOU | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 20 | 71 | |
| 13 | NYJ | Nolan Smith | EDGE | 30 | 48 | |
| 14 | NE | Joey Porter Jr. | CB | 32 | 46 | |
| 15 | GB | Myles Murphy | EDGE | 28 | 57 | |
| 16 | WAS | Darnell Wright | OL | 10 | 77 | |
| 17 | PIT | Bryan Bresee | DL | 29 | 59 | |
| 18 | DET | Michael Mayer | TE | 35 | 48 | |
| 19 | TB | Anthony Richardson | QB | 4 | 52 | |
| 20 | SEA | John Michael Schmitz | C | 57 | 20 | |
| 21 | LAC | Dalton Kincaid | TE | 25 | 84 | |
| 22 | BAL | Deonte Banks | CB | 24 | 92 | |
| 23 | MIN | Kelee Ringo | CB | 105 | 3 | |
| 24 | JAX | Brian Branch | S | 45 | 40 | |
| 25 | NYG | Joe Tippmann | C | 43 | 46 | |
| 26 | DAL | Jordan Addison | WR | 23 | 88 | |
| 27 | BUF | Bijan Robinson | RB | 8 | 44 | |
| 28 | CIN | Darnell Washington | TE | 93 | 6 | |
| 29 | NO | Trenton Simpson | LB | 86 | 8 | |
| 30 | PHI | O'Cyrus Torrence | OG | 59 | 28 | |
| 31 | KC | Dawand Jones | OT | 111 | 3 |
Round 2 · picks 32–631 hit · 1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
| Pick | Team | Player | Pos | Went | Verdict | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | LAR | BJ Ojulari | EDGE | 41 | 81 | |
| 51 | MIA | Matthew Bergeron | OL | 38 | 57 |
Round 3 · picks 64–1021 hit · 1 close call · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
| Pick | Team | Player | Pos | Went | Verdict | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | DEN | Gervon Dexter Sr. | DT | 53 | 55 | |
| 74 | CLE | Israel Abanikanda | RB | 143 | 5 | |
| 99 | SF | Nick Saldiveri | OT | 103 | 84 |
Who this take is about
Carolina Panthers, Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Chargers, Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, San Francisco 49ers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Commanders, Las Vegas Raiders, Atlanta Falcons, New York Giants, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Indianapolis Colts, Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, New Orleans Saints, Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
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Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.