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Mike Florio#15 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 30, 2026

Florio expects the Rams to beat the winless Chargers on Sunday for their fourth win, warning that a loss would leave them 3-5 and in danger of missing the playoffs.

Published in writing · NBC SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Rams 24–9What happenedChargers at Rams
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#15Mike Florio’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Florio said

The Rams should get their fourth win of the season on Sunday, against the 0-6 Chargers.
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers
Where it was published
NBC Sports
The piece
Aaron Donald isn't bothered by not having a sack since he returned to the Rams
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 29
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 2

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 71%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

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