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Lance Sanderson· Sep 18, 2026

Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one.

“I think the Broncos clean it up on both sides of the ball and come out swinging to prove they are who we think they are.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 88.1 out of 100, against 82.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos 23 — Jaguars 21

    “Pick : Broncos 23, Jaguars 21”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 82.1+11.62 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    11.62
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    82.1
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    2

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