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Kevin Wildes#47 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 25, 2026

For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#47Kevin Wildes’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kevin Wildes said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So for that reason, I am saying Broncos straight up over Rams as my first pick.
Kevin Wildes, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Falcons beat Packers, Chiefs ‘will blowout’ Dolphins, BUD List, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 25
  2. PlayedSep 27
  3. GradedSep 28
  1. 1Denver Broncos to beat Rams“Broncos over Rams. Like it. Straight up... So for that reason, I am saying Broncos straight up over Rams as my first pick.”
  2. 2New York Jets to beat Lions“You know who doesn't have a good defense? The Detroit Lions... You just have the jets beating the lions. Straight up.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Denver Broncos to beat Rams1Game Outcome PicksBroncos 30–261001000
New York Jets to beat Lions2Game Outcome PicksLions 31–240100−189
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled50100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    What happenedBroncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Rams 50%, Broncos 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksNew York Jets

    New York Jets to beat Lions

    What happenedLions 31–24Jets at Lions
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Lions by 7 · underdog pick, Jets about 1 in 4 (27%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    24-31
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 100

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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