Nate Tice#17 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 17, 2026

Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and their Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. They also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 7calls landed4 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · 1 waiting

67.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls

54.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

6Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#17Nate Tice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nate Tice said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think the cowboys drop a 40 burger on the commanders.

Nate Tice, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 2 preview & bold predictions: Giants' one big advantage, can Jaguars offense keep rolling?
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 17
PlayedSep 20–21
GradedSep 29

1New England Patriots to beat Steelers“And so I am going patriots, but I do think that the the Steelers have enough to kinda keep this one close.”
2Chicago Bears to beat Vikings“[Bears four and a half point favorites] Same. That's kinda just by default.”
3Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Texans 17“I think it's gonna be grinded out game. Like you said, I think this is gonna be, like, a twenty seventeen game, but I'm gonna go Bengals here.”
4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos“but I'm going with the Jags here. Better showing. And I also do think, maybe because of that last year's matchup, they just have the answers against this Broncos defense.”
5Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants“And I I also mean to pick the Rams, but I'm gonna say Giants cover... The Rams kinda pull it out at the end.”
6Dallas Cowboys to score 40 against commanders“I think the cowboys drop a 40 burger on the commanders.”
7Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans“but I'm gonna go Bengals here... yep, going with the Bengals.”
8Abdul Carter to make All-Pro“Abdul Carter is a freak. Might be an all pro this year. He looked incredible.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots to beat Steelers¹	Game Outcome Picks	Patriots 20–3	100	100	0
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings²	Game Outcome Picks	Vikings 9–3	0	0	0
Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Texans 17³	Score Predictions	Bengals 20–6	73.81	18.75	+106.82
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos⁴	Game Outcome Picks	Broncos 20–13	0	100	−194
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants⁵	Game Outcome Picks	Rams 28–6	100	100	0
Dallas Cowboys to score 40 against commanders⁶	Score Predictions	Cowboys 37–20	100	61.61	+74.48
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans⁷	Game Outcome Picks	Bengals 20–6	100	0	+194
Abdul Carter to make All-Pro⁸	Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls	—	—	—	—
8 calls · 4 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · 1 waiting			67.7	54.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 67.7 out of 100, against 54.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
What happenedPatriots 20–3Steelers at Patriots
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (66%).
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
3-20
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
What happenedVikings 9–3Vikings at Bears
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5 · favorite pick, Bears about 2 in 3 (66%).
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
9-3
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Texans 17
What happenedBengals 20–6called Bengals by 3 · won by 14
73.81Close · naive 18.75
73.81this call18.75a naive guess55.06better than naive1.94difficulty+106.82skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 20–17 calls a Bengals win (by 3; the line gave the Bengals 43%) and fewer points (37).
How this was scored
score:
20-6
skill:
106.82
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
18.75
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
4Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos
What happenedBroncos 20–13Jaguars at Broncos
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
13-20
skill:
−194
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
5Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
What happenedRams 28–6Giants at Rams
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 72%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
6-28
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
6Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to score 40 against commanders
What happenedCowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
100Hit · naive 61.61
100this call61.61a naive guess38.39better than naive1.94difficulty+74.48skill
How this was scored
score:
20-37
skill:
74.48
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
61.61
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
Think this is wrong?
7Game Outcome Picks Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans
What happenedBengals 20–6Bengals at Texans
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 43%.
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
20-6
skill:
194
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
8Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls Abdul Carter New York Giants
Abdul Carter to make All-Pro
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
67.7naive 54.3

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Brooke Cersosimo · Game Outcome Picks · Buffalo Bills · Hit 100
Picks the Bills over the Vikings.
Gennaro Filice · Game Outcome Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Picks the Vikings to beat the Bills.
Moe Moton · Game Outcome Picks · Buffalo Bills · Hit 100
Picks the Bills to win.
Pamela Maldonado · Game Outcome Picks · Buffalo Bills · Hit 100
Picks the Bills to win.