Nate Tice· Sep 17, 2026
Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
“I think the cowboys drop a 40 burger on the commanders.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 67.7 out of 100, against 54.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Vikings at Bears 20 calls
- Steelers at Patriots 20 calls
- Bengals at Texans 26 calls
- Jaguars at Broncos 38 calls
- Commanders at Cowboys 15 calls
- Giants at Rams 31 calls
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 17, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
“And so I am going patriots, but I do think that the the Steelers have enough to kinda keep this one close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsSep 17, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
“[Bears four and a half point favorites] Same. That's kinda just by default.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 9-3
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsSep 17, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Texans 17
“I think it's gonna be grinded out game. Like you said, I think this is gonna be, like, a twenty seventeen game, but I'm gonna go Bengals here.”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 18.75+106.82 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-6
- skill:
- 106.82
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 73.81
- baseline:
- 18.75
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 17, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos
“but I'm going with the Jags here. Better showing. And I also do think, maybe because of that last year's matchup, they just have the answers against this Broncos defense.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 13-20
- skill:
- -194
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 17, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
“And I I also mean to pick the Rams, but I'm gonna say Giants cover... The Rams kinda pull it out at the end.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 6-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysSep 17, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 40 — commanders ?
“I think the cowboys drop a 40 burger on the commanders.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 61.61+74.48 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- 74.48
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 61.61
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 17, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans
“but I'm gonna go Bengals here... yep, going with the Bengals.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 20-6
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Abdul Carter to make All-Pro
“Abdul Carter is a freak. Might be an all pro this year. He looked incredible.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Jaron SporGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0The host predicted a comfortable Buccaneers win over Cleveland, 27-10, picked Jacksonville as an upset winner at Denver, said the Giants could win seven or eight games as a sneaky team, and expected Deshaun Watson and the Browns to part ways soon.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Ty SchmitGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0While taking the Bears to cover, he said he expects the Eagles to win Monday night in Chicago in a tight game.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0He trusts Jalen Hurts over the Bears' quarterback situation and picked Philadelphia to beat Chicago on Monday night.