Joe House· Oct 2, 2026
He expects Houston to beat Dallas by a field goal or so, even though he isn't willing to lay the points himself.
“I think that they're gonna win, and I think they're gonna win by, you know, three or four.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Bill Simmons Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Cowboys at Texans 31 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansOct 2, 2026
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
“I like the Texans here, but I'm just not willing to to go the extra mile with it. I think that they're gonna win, and I think they're gonna win by, you know, three or four.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 34-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%.
What others said about the same people
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Jared Harrison-HunteMiss · 0Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.
- JP AcostaPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Derek Stingley Jr.Hit · 100JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Andrew EricksonTrade and Signing Calls · Joe MixonHit · 100Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 50Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Houston TexansMiss · 33Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 43Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield.
- Pat FitzmauriceGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Cowherd praised Dak Prescott as the stabilizing force of the Cowboys and picked Dallas to beat Tampa Bay in their Week 5 matchup, while calling the Dallas coaching staff average.
- Mike KadlickGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Previewing Week 5 of the 2026 season, Kadlick picks the Bengals to blow out the Dolphins, the Cowboys to beat the Buccaneers comfortably, and the Chargers to finally win at home against the Broncos. He also expects Jayden Daniels back for Washington, Michael Pittman Jr. possibly out for Pittsburgh, and names the Week 5 starting quarterbacks for Tampa Bay, Chicago and New York.
- Caleb SkinnerGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Skinner expects the winless Buccaneers to lose their Thursday night road game against the Cowboys, citing Tampa Bay's 0-4 start and a depleted secondary.
- Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0The co-host (identified only as Mitchell) picked the 49ers to win in Seattle, made Week 5 picks across several games, ranked San Francisco first in his power rankings, took Dallas to win the NFC East and said Chicago wins the NFC North.