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Eric CohenSep 13, 2026

Cohen says the Bears win easily in Carolina, and that Tennessee starts 1-0 over a Jets team they consider the third-worst in the league.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Eric Cohen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Chicago wins and covers on the road fairly easily.
Eric Cohen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 1 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who has edge in Bills-Texans? Can Saints upset Lions?
The original
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  1. SaidSep 13
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Tennessee Titans to beat Jets“Tennessee starts 1-0 but it won't be an easy watch.”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to beat Panthers“Chicago wins and covers on the road fairly easily.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“I predict the Jets will be the third-worst team in football (behind the Dolphins and Cardinals)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets1Game Outcome PicksJets 23–10000
Chicago Bears to beat Panthers2Game Outcome PicksBears 59–371000+200
“I predict the Jets will be the third-worst team in football…”3Power Rankings————
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting500

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to beat Jets

    What happenedJets 23–10Jets at Titans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Titans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Jets 48%, Titans 52%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYJ
    score:
    23-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Panthers

    What happenedBears 59–37Bears at Panthers
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Power Rankings

    “I predict the Jets will be the third-worst team in football (behind the Dolphins and Cardinals)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 0

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