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Dan Orlovsky· Nov 2, 2026

Orlovsky picked Seattle at home over Chicago on Monday night and said Jonathan Taylor appears headed for a trade out of Indianapolis.

“Yeah. I like Seattle at home.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago

    “Seahawks favored by three favorites have done well this weekend. What do you expect tonight, Daniel? Yeah. I like Seattle at home.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jonathan Taylor to move — “seems he's gonna get traded”

    “Jonathan Taylor seems he's gonna get traded. I don't know if he's gonna go for a first round pick.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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