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Jordan Dajani· Oct 22, 2026

Dajani gave final-score picks for seven Week 7 games, including the Bears beating the Patriots at home on Thursday night, an upset by the Bengals in Baltimore, and the Chiefs winning a revenge game in Seattle.

“This will be a high-flying affair that comes down to the very end, and a push is very much in play.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 65.3 out of 100, against 51.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Dallas Cowboys 26 — Eagles 20

    “Prediction: Cowboys 26, Eagles 20”

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 8.32+109.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    109.36
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    8.32
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.5
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 6) and more points (46).

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  • Detroit Lions 35 — Packers 30

    “Give me the Lions at home. … Prediction: Lions 35, Packers 30”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 92.03+5.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-20
    skill:
    5.36
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    92.03
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    5

    Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 35–30 calls a bigger Lions win (by 5) and more points (65).

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  • Kansas City Chiefs 23 — Seahawks 21

    “I'm expecting an epic revenge game. Give me the Chiefs. … Prediction: Chiefs 23, Seahawks 21”

    Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 58.69-74.16 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    −74.16
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    14.29
    baseline:
    58.69
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3, total 43.5 · this 23–21 calls a Chiefs win (by 2; the line gave the Chiefs 41%) and more points (44).

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  • Cincinnati Bengals 29 — Ravens 27

    “Give me the upset here. ... Prediction: Bengals 29, Ravens 27”

    Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 0+87.48 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-13
    skill:
    87.48
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3, total 46.5 · this 29–27 calls a closer game (Bengals by 2) and more points (56).

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  • San Francisco 49ers 22 — Falcons 20

    “Prediction: 49ers 22, Falcons 20”

    Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 77.89-74.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    −74.42
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    33.33
    baseline:
    77.89
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 22–20 calls a closer game (49ers by 2) and fewer points (42).

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  • Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Saints 20

    “Prediction: Steelers 23, Saints 20”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 35.04+96.56 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    16-10
    skill:
    96.56
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    35.04
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (Steelers by 3) and fewer points (43).

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  • Chicago Bears 28 — Patriots 24

    “Prediction: Bears 28, Patriots 24”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 86.37+14.8 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-30
    skill:
    14.8
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    86.37
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    0.28
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and more points (52).

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