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First Things First· Oct 23, 2026

The show's "Coach" used his Upset Alert selection on the New York Giants to beat the Houston Texans in Houston, arguing the Texans would be overconfident after their win in Jacksonville.

“I'm going with the New York Giants over the Houston Texans, and Houston's feeling great.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New York Giants to beat Houston Texans

    “I'm going with the New York Giants over the Houston Texans, and Houston's feeling great... And that's why the Giants, Kim Skatebu, who had that soft benching, probably pretty motivated.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    27-21
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): Texans by 10 · underdog pick, Giants about 1 in 5 (20%).

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