Nate Tice#17 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 26, 2025

Tice is bullish on Drake Maye's long-term All-Pro potential, likes the fit for Caleb Williams in Chicago and sees a path for Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh; they predict Joe Flacco wins the Browns' starting job and that Jaxson Dart takes over for the Giants by Thanksgiving.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

91.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settled1 still waiting

#17Nate Tice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nate Tice said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

So I predict by Thanksgiving that we see Jackson Dart.

Nate Tice, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Will Commanders have top-3 offense? Browns QB1?
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJun 26, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart“I think that's where you see the rookie quarterback get dropped in... So I predict by Thanksgiving that we see Jackson Dart.”
2Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart“I think the old man ends up winning Joe Blackout. I think he's on that roster to win the job... I really do think that the math game of all this ends up with Flacco as a starter”
3Drake Maye to make All-Pro“I think this guy has all pro potential, and I really will stand on that. Not this year”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart¹	Depth Chart Calls	No. 1	100	91.67	+16.67
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 1	100	91.67	+16.67
Drake Maye to make All-Pro³	Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting			100	91.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said

1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Depth Chart Calls Jaxson Dart New York Giants
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Joe Flacco Cleveland Browns
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls Drake Maye New England Patriots
Drake Maye to make All-Pro
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 91.7

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.
Garrett Podell · Depth Chart Calls · Carson Beck · Miss 0
Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.
Donnie Druin · Depth Chart Calls · Jacoby Brissett · Hit 100
Following the Cardinals' decision not to make staff or lineup changes, Druin states that Jacoby Brissett will remain Arizona's starting quarterback for another week, with rookie Carson Beck staying behind them.
Jordan Dajani · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Kendall · Miss 0
Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle.