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Larry HolderOct 24, 2026

Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

Dolphins 28–25What happenedDolphins at Jets

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

0Skillafter difficulty

What Larry Holder said

Our reading: New York Jets to beat Dolphins

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Dolphins-Jets Week 7 National Predictions Roundup: Any More Miami Believers?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 24
PlayedOct 25
GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks New York Jets
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
What happenedDolphins 28–25Dolphins at Jets
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
How this was scored
won:
MIA
score:
28-25
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Dolphins at JetsDolphins 28Jets 2562 calls →

Who this take is about

New York Jets

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.
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Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
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Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.

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