Gene ChamberlainOct 23, 2026

With Cole Kmet headed to season-ending injured reserve, Chamberlain expects the Bears to fill the tight end void internally rather than trading, naming practice squad veteran Stephen Carlson as the likely promotion to the active roster.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

1 week on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−167Skillafter difficulty

What Gene Chamberlain said

Carlson would be an obvious choice for promotion and as an experienced NFL player who has been with the team for four years there would be no need for him to learn the offense.

Our reading: Stephen Carlson to land on the practice squad

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Why Bears May Not Need a Trade with Cole Kmet Going on Season-Ending IR
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 23
GradedNov 3

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Stephen Carlson Chicago Bears
Stephen Carlson to land on the practice squad
What happened1 week on a 53
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
−167
player:
Stephen Carlson
season:
2026
claimed:
he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1.67
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
1
weeks left when called:
12
first week on the53:
8
weeks on the practice squad:
7
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