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Eric Mangini#86 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2025

Mangini disagreed with Cowherd's Bills pick, arguing Kansas City's playoff history against Buffalo gives them the edge, and said Chicago under Ben Johnson should at minimum make the playoffs and contend for the division.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#86Eric Mangini’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Eric Mangini said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So Buffalo's not totally sure whether they can be Kansas City, but Kansas City is absolutely sure they can be Buffalo.
Eric Mangini, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2 - Colin's Blazin' Picks
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo“I usually agree with a lot of your blazing five and I disagreed with with all of it today, and I disagree with with the Buffalo kc take.”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to make the playoffs“they should be in the hunt to win that division and they should add a minimum, make the playoffs. I don't think that's an unreasonable expectation for him in Chicago with that talent level next year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−100
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled50100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Chiefs 52%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    29-32
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Playoff PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    −100
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 100

Others on the same people

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