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Bob FolgerAug 23, 2026

Reviewing the Giants' defense and special teams in the preseason game against Miami, Folger states they have little doubt linebacker Zaire Barnes will make the roster, largely on the strength of their special teams play.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Bob Folger said

we have little doubt that Barnes is making this team not just for his contributions on defense but more so for his special teams ability
Our reading: Zaire Barnes to make the roster
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Giants Defense Grades: Deonte Banks Shows New Physicality in Dolphins Win
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 23
  2. GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Zaire Barnes
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.