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Alex Reno· Oct 4, 2026

Picks Detroit to win 35-24 in Carolina.

“Alex Reno (3-0): Lions 35-24”

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One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 38.1 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Detroit Lions 35 — Panthers 24

    “Alex Reno (3-0): Lions 35-24”

    Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 88.1-91.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    −91.5
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    38.1
    baseline:
    88.1
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    11

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