Thomas MartinezNov 2, 2026

Martinez expects the Chargers to sell at the trade deadline, predicting Khalil Mack will be dealt to a contender soon, and floating Daiyan Henley and Donte Jackson as fits in Detroit, Dalvin Tomlinson as a fit for Jacksonville's defensive line, and Keaton Mitchell as a change-of-pace back other teams could acquire. They also doubt the Chargers will give Mitchell a $3 million raise.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting5 calls, none settled yet

—Average accuracynothing settled yet

—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

0 of 5Settled5 still waiting

5Waitingnot graded yet

What Thomas Martinez said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Their unwillingness to discuss trade options may have narrowed the potential trade partners for Mack but he should find a new home soon.

Thomas Martinez, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: NFL Trade Deadline Rumors Heating Up: Chargers Collapse Creates Firestorm of Demand
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

1Daiyan Henley to move to Detroit Lions“The Lions may need a starting-level rental and Henley could be a good fit in Detroit,”
2Khalil Mack to move — “should find a new home soon”“Their unwillingness to discuss trade options may have narrowed the potential trade partners for Mack but he should find a new home soon.”
3Dalvin Tomlinson to move to Jacksonville Jaguars“The Jaguars were already rumored to be looking into adding defensive line depth before the injury, now it is all but certain.”
4Keaton Mitchell to move — “teams in search of a change of pace back could find value in bringing in Mitchell”“As running backs go down around the NFL, teams in search of a change of pace back could find value in bringing in Mitchell.”
5Donte Jackson to move to Detroit Lions“The Lions are also in need of defensive back help and could make sense for Jackson.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Daiyan Henley to move to Detroit Lions¹	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Khalil Mack to move — “should find a new home soon”²	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Dalvin Tomlinson to move to Jacksonville Jaguars³	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Keaton Mitchell to move — “teams in search of a change of pace back could find value in bringing in Mitchell”⁴	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Donte Jackson to move to Detroit Lions⁵	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
5 calls · 5 waiting			—	—

How each call scored

5 checkable claims — 5 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Daiyan Henley Detroit Lions
Daiyan Henley to move to Detroit Lions
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
2Trade and Signing Calls Khalil Mack
Khalil Mack to move — “should find a new home soon”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
3Trade and Signing Calls Dalvin Tomlinson Jacksonville Jaguars
Dalvin Tomlinson to move to Jacksonville Jaguars
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
4Trade and Signing Calls Keaton Mitchell
Keaton Mitchell to move — “teams in search of a change of pace back could find value in bringing in Mitchell”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
5Trade and Signing Calls Donte Jackson Detroit Lions
Donte Jackson to move to Detroit Lions
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Christian Booher · Roster Spot Calls · Anthony Lucas · Miss 0
Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Hit 83
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Evan “Foxy” Fox · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Close 67
Foxy predicted a blowout Lions win over the Dolphins by a score of 45-21.
Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.
Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.
Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.
Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.