Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 7, 2025
Cowherd reshaped the AFC playoff field: Kansas City in over Jacksonville, Baltimore in over the Chargers, Buffalo and Pittsburgh unchanged, and predicted Kansas City and Buffalo to meet in the AFC Championship in Buffalo.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Colin Cowherd said
So it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- THE HERD - Hour 2 - Colin's Blazing 5 NFL picks, the best QBs from the 2024 draft, Mike Sando
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidNov 7, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Conference Champions | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Playoff Picks | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| All | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 4 playoff picks and 1 conference champion — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 44.4 out of 100, against 55.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game Outcome Picks2 hits · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver
“Then Kansas City would go to Denver and I would take Kansas City”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.5 difficulty = −150 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- −150
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- 100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 40-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- 0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Colts
“I believe the winners are Kansas City over the Colts”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 20-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Conference Champions1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“so it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo”
NE and SEA wonpicked KC0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
Playoff Picks2 hits · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“the Ravens to replace the Chargers, even though the records right now don't feel that way”
Missed the playoffs0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I'll put Kansas City to replace the Jags as a wild card team.”
Missed the playoffs0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.5 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.