Colin Cowherd· Nov 7, 2025
Cowherd reshaped the AFC playoff field: Kansas City in over Jacksonville, Baltimore in over the Chargers, Buffalo and Pittsburgh unchanged, and predicted Kansas City and Buffalo to meet in the AFC Championship in Buffalo.
“So it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 4 playoff picks and 1 conference champion — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 44.4 out of 100, against 55.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver
“Then Kansas City would go to Denver and I would take Kansas City”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- -150
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“so it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“the Ravens to replace the Chargers, even though the records right now don't feel that way”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore
“and I think I would take Josh Allen over Lamar”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 40-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat New England
“Baltimore over New England”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Colts
“I believe the winners are Kansas City over the Colts”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 20-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I'll put Kansas City to replace the Jags as a wild card team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.