Jacob HerlinSep 29, 2026

Ranks all 32 team defenses for fantasy purposes in Week 4, with projected points allowed, sacks, turnovers and fantasy points, putting Minnesota first and Carolina last.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 1 waiting

72.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

1 of 2Settled1 still waiting

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jacob Herlin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

This is the last week before byes start, and it looks like a good one for streaming, with multiple widely available defenses facing good matchups.

Jacob Herlin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: FantasyPros
The piece: Let’s Stream Defenses: Week 4 (2026 Fantasy Football)
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 29
GradedOct 9

132 fantasy defenses ranked for Week 4“Week 4 D/ST Rankings & Projections — table ranking all 32 team defenses with projected PA, sacks, turnovers and FPTS”
2Availability Calls“Bryce Young took a cleat to the leg last week, but he was able to finish the game and it appears that he will be able to play this week. (Week 4)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
32 fantasy defenses ranked for Week 4¹	Fantasy Defense Rankings	—	72.05	50	+40.35
“Bryce Young took a cleat to the leg last week, but he was able…”²	Availability Calls	—	—	—	—
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 waiting			72.1	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 fantasy defense ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 72.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Fantasy Defense Rankings
32 fantasy defenses ranked for Week 4
VerdictClose
72.05Close · naive 50
72.05this call50a naive guess22.05better than naive1.83difficulty+40.35skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
scope:
week 4
skill:
40.35
method:
spearman
placed:
32
season:
2026
scoring:
standard D/ST
accuracy:
72.05
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
defenses ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
2Availability Calls Bryce Young Carolina Panthers
“Bryce Young took a cleat to the leg last week, but he was able to finish the game and it appears that he will be able to play this week. (Week 4)”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?