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Jeremy Reisman· Oct 4, 2026

Expects a high-scoring Lions victory, 37-31.

“Jeremy Reisman (3-0): Lions 37-31”

published in writing · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Detroit Lions 37 — Panthers 31

    “Jeremy Reisman (3-0): Lions 37-31 (On Paper)”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 88.1-69.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    −69.71
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    88.1
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 37–31 calls a bigger Lions win (by 6) and more points (68).

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