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Isaac RochellMay 7, 2025

Rochelle picked the Cowboys to be the first of the two teams to win a playoff game.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100

Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled

22.92A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−45.84Skillafter difficulty

What Isaac Rochell said

The Cowboys are going to be the first team to really do something.

Our reading: Dallas Cowboys to beat Steelers

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Wednesday Hour 2: Pickens trade, Mystery NFL Mom, and Top 5 Edelman moments!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidMay 7, 2025
GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 22.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 22.92
0this call22.92a naive guess−22.92worse than naive2difficulty−45.84skill
How this was scored
note:
these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
skill:
−45.84
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
ceiling:
66.67
accuracy:
0
baseline:
22.92
opponent:
PIT
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
weeks in the season:
18
right opponent:
no
weeks left when called:
18
picked won aplayoff game:
no
picked reached the playoffs:
no
opponent reached the playoffs:
yes
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Dallas Cowboys

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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