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Darius ButlerSep 9, 2026

Butler initially picked Seattle but switched to the Patriots before the show ended; they also called the Colts a likely No. 1 seed, said Jacksonville sneaks into the playoffs, and expects Sam Darnold to land a new contract.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Darius Butler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Change my pick to patriots plus three.
Darius Butler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PMS 2.0 1620 - THE NFL IS BACK, Patriots vs. Seahawks Preview & Picks, JJ Watt, Drew Rosenhaus, Richard Sherman, Mike Tirico, Darius Butler, & AJ Hawk
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs“Jacksonville Jaguars, they'll sneak in there.”
  2. 2Sam Darnold to sign a new deal with Seattle Seahawks“Now who's next? We talked about Sam Darnell. I think he'll get his new deal.”
  3. 3Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed“and then the Colts are probably gonna be number one seed. Last thing I just said, I actually mean.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs1Playoff Picks————
Sam Darnold to sign a new deal with Seattle Seahawks2Contract Calls————
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed3Seeding, Byes and Home Field————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 1 contract call, 1 playoff pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Makes the playoffsThey said
Made the playoffs2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Playoff PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Contract CallsSam DarnoldSeattle Seahawks

    Sam Darnold to sign a new deal with Seattle Seahawks

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Seeding, Byes and Home FieldIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More contract calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.