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John Shipley· Oct 19, 2026

Shipley says the Texans' next four games are all winnable and expects Houston to beat the Giants, Chargers, Browns and Colts as it chases Jacksonville in the AFC South.

“The Texans' next four games are winnable as well, though, with four expected wins against the Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns, and then the Colts.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Houston Texans to beat Los Angeles Chargers

    “four expected wins against the Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns, and then the Colts”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

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  • Houston Texans to beat Giants

    “The Texans' next four games are winnable as well, though, with four expected wins against the Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns, and then the Colts.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    27-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 25): Texans by 10 · favorite pick, Texans about 4 in 5 (80%).

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  • Houston Texans to beat Cleveland Browns

    “four expected wins against the Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns, and then the Colts”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans to beat Colts

    “four expected wins against the Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns, and then the Colts”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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