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Jordan Dajani· Oct 29, 2026

Dajani picks the Packers 27-23 over the Panthers and the Broncos to beat the Chiefs 20-16.

“Jordan Dajani — Broncos (+1.5) 20-16 over Chiefs.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 95.2 out of 100, against 86.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Denver Broncos 20 — Chiefs 16

    “Jordan Dajani — Broncos (+1.5) 20-16 over Chiefs.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 92.18+12.59 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    12.59
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    92.18
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and fewer points (36). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

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  • Green Bay Packers 27 — Panthers 23

    “Jordan Dajani's pick: Packers 27-23 over Panthers”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 79.94+16.97 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    16.97
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Packers win (by 4) and more points (50).

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What others said about the same people

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