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Matt Harmon· Nov 5, 2026

Harmon picked the Packers, Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in Week 9, predicted Justin Jefferson would top 100 receiving yards with two touchdowns against Buffalo, and said Minnesota would lose and then trade for Jonathan Taylor.

“I'll say Justin Jefferson goes over 100 yard and score... 100 yards and scores twice.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 1 player season number and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersNov 5, 2026

    Green Bay Packers to beat Patriots

    “I'll go Packers here. I don't really like the way the, Patriots offense matches up against this defense.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 5, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Bucks

    “I think I trust the Bucks' offense the least of the three here... So, yeah, I'll take the bears here.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 5, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders

    “Who are you predicting here? Gee. I wonder who Yeah. I'll go niners.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026

    Denver Broncos to beat Panthers

    “Yeah. I think I'm gonna take the Broncos based on that discussion that we just had there.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Player Season NumbersJustin JeffersonMinnesota VikingsNov 5, 2026

    Justin Jefferson to record 2 receiving tds

    “but I think he scores twice, goes over a 100 yards”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 5, 2026

    Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings

    “I will take, the Bills here to win the game... I definitely trust the offense with, Josh Allen more so than the other one across the field.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsJonathan TaylorMinnesota VikingsNov 5, 2026

    Jonathan Taylor to move to Minnesota Vikings

    “I'll double down. They're gonna lose this one and then trade for Jonathan Taylor.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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