Nick Wright· Nov 15, 2025
Hosting the Week 11 NFL gambling show, he gave five against-the-spread picks (Miami, Chicago, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Kansas City) and several outright winner calls in games he was staying away from.
“I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 15, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona
“Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I'm only laying the two and a half. So I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 41-22
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 15, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle
“Seattle at the Rams. The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three, so the Lion is perfect.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 19-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 15, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota
“I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 15, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver
“the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver... I will still lay the three and a half... do I think the Chiefs can score twenty one even against that Denver defense. I think they can.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- -144
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 15, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville
“Chargers at Jacksonville, Jacksonville getting two and a half. I think the Chargers win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- -144
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsNov 15, 2025
Miami Dolphins to beat Washington
“I'll take Miami minus two and a half from Madrid... I think Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 13-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.