Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 15, 2025
Hosting the Week 11 NFL gambling show, they gave five against-the-spread picks (Miami, Chicago, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Kansas City) and several outright winner calls in games they were staying away from.
Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.
- Where it was said
- What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
- The episode
- What's Wright - NFL Week 11 Predictions: Chiefs-Broncos, Lions-Eagles, Seahawks-Rams, Bucs-Bills | Nick Wright
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- Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidNov 15, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
- 1San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona“Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I'm only laying the two and a half. So I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half”
- 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle“Seattle at the Rams. The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three, so the Lion is perfect.”
- 3Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota“I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.”
- 4Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville“Chargers at Jacksonville, Jacksonville getting two and a half. I think the Chargers win.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +144 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +144 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −144 | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 75 | 50 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.44difficulty=+144skillClosing line (Nov 16): 49ers by 3.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 63%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 41-22
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.44difficulty=0skillClosing line (Nov 16): Rams by 3 · favorite pick, Rams 61%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 19-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
3Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.44difficulty=+144skillClosing line (Nov 16): Vikings by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 43%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.44difficulty=−144skillClosing line (Nov 16): Chargers by 3 · favorite pick, Chargers 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- −144
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
75naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.