John Ashbrook· Oct 24, 2024
Ashbrook argued that Democratic Senate candidate Lucas Kunce's campaign is floundering — including dodging questions about Kamala Harris — and said that is why Josh Hawley will win the Missouri Senate race.
“They're just in that guy's head like nobody's business, and that's why Holly's gonna win.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Ruthless Podcast · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Race WinnersOct 24, 2024
“Abigail Jackson who works it with Josh Hawley has been tweeting about this nonstop... They're just in that guy's head like nobody's business, and that's why Holly's gonna win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2024-senate-mo
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Republican
- result from:
- wikipedia-2024-senate
- who won:
- Josh Hawley
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. Senate election in Missouri
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Josh Hawley
- days before the vote when called:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1.02
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
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