Kyle CrabbsApr 28, 2025

In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

6 of 32picks landed6 hits · 5 close calls · 21 misses · all settled

61.58The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50

+11.58Skillthe mock as a whole

32Per pickaverage, out of 100

4Went undraftedeach a miss

What Kyle Crabbs said

If the Browns finish with the top spot after spending two mid-round picks and acquiring Kenny Pickett this offseason, look for them to go for a toolsy quarterback.

Kyle Crabbs, the lead quote

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: Way-Too-Early 2026 NFL Mock Draft: Who Is Next Year's Top QB?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 28, 2025
GradedOct 1, 2026

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting	Calls
Round 1	6	5	21	0
All	6	5	21	0

How the mock scored

32 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 63 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 32 have settled, averaging 32 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed.

The mock as a whole

61.58this mock’s order50a shuffled mock11.58better than naive1difficulty+11.58skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting

Round 1 · picks 1–326 hits · 5 close calls · 21 missesShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
1	CLE	LaNorris Sellers	QB	UDFA	0
2	NO	Drew Allar	QB	76	4
3	NYG	Peter Woods	IDL	29	32
4	TEN	T.J. Parker	EDGE	35	26
5	NYJ	Jordyn Tyson	WR	8	88
6	CAR	Francis Mauigoa	OT	10	84
7	LV	Caleb Downs	SAF	11	84
8	IND	Arch Manning	QB	UDFA	0
9	CLE	Kadyn Proctor	OT	12	88
10	NE	Anthony Hill	LB	60	11
11	SEA	Tacario Davis	CB	72	7
12	ATL	Jermod McCoy	CB	101	2
13	DAL	Caleb Banks	DL	18	81
14	MIA	Nyck Harbor	WR	UDFA	0
15	ARI	Denzel Boston	WR	39	35
16	PIT	Garrett Nussmeier	QB	249	0
17	CHI	Rueben Bain	EDGE	15	92
18	DEN	C.J. Allen	LB	53	22
19	TB	Keldric Faulk	EDGE	31	59
20	HOU	Dani Dennis-Sutton	EDGE	120	1
21	MIN	Mansoor Delane	CB	6	52
22	LAC	David Bailey	EDGE	2	42
23	SF	Spencer Fano	OT	9	55
24	GB	Daylen Everette	CB	85	7
25	WAS	L.T. Overton	DL	137	1
26	CIN	Jeremiyah Love	RB	3	37
27	LAR	Cade Klubnik	QB	110	3
28	KC	Christen Miller	DL	42	55
29	BUF	Jake Slaughter	IOL	63	23
30	DET	Nic Anderson	WR	UDFA	0
31	BAL	Darrell Jackson	DL	103	4
32	PHI	Davison Igbinosun	CB	62	27

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Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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