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Kyle Crabbs· Apr 28, 2025

In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2.

“If the Browns finish with the top spot after spending two mid-round picks and acquiring Kenny Pickett this offseason, look for them to go for a toolsy quarterback.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

32 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 63 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 32 have settled, averaging 32 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
29What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

32 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Peter Woods to be picked at number 3

    “3. New York Giants Selection: Peter Woods, IDL, Clemson”

    Miss · 32Scored 32.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 61.58 against a shuffle’s 50+11.58 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    11.58
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    32.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    32.42
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    61.58

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 22

    “22. Los Angeles Chargers Selection: David Bailey, EDGE, Texas Tech”

    Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 61.58 against a shuffle’s 50+11.58 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    11.58
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    61.58

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jake Slaughter to be picked at number 29

    “29. Buffalo Bills Selection: Jake Slaughter, IOL, Florida”

    Miss · 23Scored 22.93 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 61.58 against a shuffle’s 50+11.58 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    11.58
    player:
    Jake Slaughter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    22.93
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    63
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    22.93
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    61.58

    Think this is wrong?

  • Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 31

    “31. Baltimore Ravens Selection: Darrell Jackson Jr., DL, Florida State”

    Miss · 4Scored 4.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 61.58 against a shuffle’s 50+11.58 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    11.58
    player:
    Darrell Jackson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    4.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    103
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    4.42
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    61.58

    Think this is wrong?

  • Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 32

    “32. Philadelphia Eagles Selection: Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State”

    Miss · 27Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 61.58 against a shuffle’s 50+11.58 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    11.58
    player:
    Davison Igbinosun
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    27.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    62
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    27.26
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    61.58

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Allen to be picked at number 18

    “18. Denver Broncos Selection: C.J. Allen, LB, Georgia”

    Miss · 22Scored 21.95 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    C.J. Allen
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    21.95
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    53
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    21.95
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • T.J. Parker to be picked at number 4

    “4. Tennessee Titans Selection: T.J. Parker, EDGE, Clemson”

    Miss · 26Scored 26.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    26.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    26.11
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    “6. Carolina Panthers Selection: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Daylen Everette to be picked at number 24

    “24. Green Bay Packers Selection: Daylen Everette, CB, Georgia”

    Miss · 7Scored 7.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Daylen Everette
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    7.12
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    85
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    7.12
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Christen Miller to be picked at number 28

    “28. Kansas City Chiefs Selection: Christen Miller, DL, Georgia”

    Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Christen Miller
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    42
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5

    “5. New York Jets Selection: Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • L.T. Overton to be picked at number 25

    “25. Washington Commanders Selection: LT Overton, DL, Alabama”

    Miss · 1Scored 0.78 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    L.T. Overton
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.78
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    137
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.78
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 9

    “9. Cleveland Browns Selection: Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drew Allar to be picked at number 2

    “2. New Orleans Saints Selection: Drew Allar, QB, Penn State”

    Miss · 4Scored 4.05 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Drew Allar
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    4.05
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    76
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    4.05
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 17

    “17. Chicago Bears Selection: Rueben Bain Jr., EDGE, Miami”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 16

    “16. Pittsburgh Steelers Selection: Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Garrett Nussmeier
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    249
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    “12. Atlanta Falcons Selection: Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee”

    Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.12
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.12
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denzel Boston to be picked at number 15

    “15. Arizona Cardinals Selection: Denzel Boston, WR, Washington”

    Miss · 35Scored 35.36 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tacario Davis to be picked at number 11

    “11. Seattle Seahawks Selection: Tacario Davis, CB, Washington”

    Miss · 7Scored 7.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Tacario Davis
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    7.12
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    72
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    7.12
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Nyck Harbor to be picked at number 14

    “14. Miami Dolphins Selection: Nyck Harbor, WR, South Carolina”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Nyck Harbor
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 26

    “26. Cincinnati Bengals Selection: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame”

    Miss · 37Scored 36.92 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    36.92
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    36.92
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 27

    “27. Los Angeles Rams Selection: Cade Klubnik, QB, Clemson”

    Miss · 3Scored 2.74 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Cade Klubnik
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.74
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    110
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.74
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arch Manning to be picked at number 8

    “8. Indianapolis Colts Selection: Arch Manning, QB, Texas”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Arch Manning
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dani Dennis-Sutton to be picked at number 20

    “20. Houston Texans Selection: Dani Dennis-Sutton, EDGE, Penn State”

    Miss · 1Scored 1.31 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Dani Dennis-Sutton
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    1.31
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    120
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    1.31
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Anthony Hill to be picked at number 10

    “10. New England Patriots Selection: Anthony Hill Jr., LB, Texas”

    Miss · 11Scored 11.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Anthony Hill
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    11.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    60
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    11.46
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23

    “23. San Francisco 49ers Selection: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah”

    Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    “7. Las Vegas Raiders Selection: Caleb Downs, SAF, Ohio State”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 21

    “21. Minnesota Vikings Selection: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19

    “19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Selection: Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn”

    Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    59.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    59.46
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • LaNorris Sellers to be picked at number 1

    “1. Cleveland Browns Selection: LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    LaNorris Sellers
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Nic Anderson to be picked at number 30

    “30. Detroit Lions Selection: Nic Anderson, WR, LSU”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Nic Anderson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

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  • Caleb Banks to be picked at number 13

    “13. Dallas Cowboys Selection: Caleb Banks, DL, Florida”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 58.1 against a shuffle’s 50+8.1 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    8.1
    player:
    Caleb Banks
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    18
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    58.1

    Think this is wrong?

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