Skip to main content

Isaiah StanbackMay 7, 2025

Stanback predicted the Cowboys will make the playoffs and win a playoff game before the Steelers, and said Dallas will have a top-five defense.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
61.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Isaiah Stanback said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But this defense, I truly believe this is gonna be a top five defense in the league.
Isaiah Stanback, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Wednesday Hour 2: Pickens trade, Mystery NFL Mom, and Top 5 Edelman moments!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMay 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Dallas Cowboys to beat Pittsburgh Steelers“Yes, Dallas Cowboys, And I know Mike Tomlin his history”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs“yeah they're gonna be in the playoffs.”
  3. 3Position Group Rankings“But this defense, I truly believe this is gonna be a top five defense in the league.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dallas Cowboys to beat Pittsburgh Steelers1Game Outcome Picks—022.92−45.84
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−200
“But this defense, I truly believe this is gonna be a top five…”3Position Group Rankings————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting061.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 position group ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 61.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Pittsburgh Steelers

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 22.92
    0this call22.92a naive guess−22.92worse than naive2difficulty−45.84skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    −45.84
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    no
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Playoff PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Group Rankings

    “But this defense, I truly believe this is gonna be a top five defense in the league.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 61.5

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.