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Jason McIntyre· Sep 2, 2026

Filling in as host, he ran through the second half of his Week 1 NFL picks, calling winners in the Bengals-Bucs, Ravens-Colts, Eagles-Commanders, Vikings-Packers, Dolphins-Raiders, Chargers-Cardinals, Cowboys-Giants and Chiefs-Broncos games, including a 27-10 Eagles score.

“I'll give the Bengals a win, but I'm going with a three and a half for Tampa Bay.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 58 out of 100, against 74.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos

    “Chiefs Broncos... I'm going with the Chiefs minus two and a half... But I will go with the Chiefs at home.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Miami Dolphins to beat Raiders

    “Next up, Dolphins Raiders. I'm going Dolphins. Only because Kirk Cousins is starting.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    13-27
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    MIA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 10

    “Next up, Commanders Eagles... I like Philly here in, you know, a 27-10 Eagles role.”

    Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 93.97-59.37 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-24
    skill:
    -59.37
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    93.97
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    -0.53
    predicted margin:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts

    “I can't fire on the Colts. So for now, I'm going Ravens minus three and a half.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    41-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants

    “Then the Cowboys Giants, the G-men. I'll be fading those bums all season. Give me the Cowboys, minus two and a half.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “Give me the Arizona Cardinals getting 10 and a half against the Chargers. I like the Chargers to win, but are they going to win by more than 10 and a half?”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay

    “Bucks, Bengals... I'll give the Bengals a win, but I'm going with a three and a half for Tampa Bay.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to beat Green Bay Packers

    “Minnesota Vikings. Minus one and a half against the reeling Green Bay Packers... I believe they take down the Packers in an impressive win”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    22-39
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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