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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 2, 2026

Filling in as host, they ran through the second half of their Week 1 NFL picks, calling winners in the Bengals-Bucs, Ravens-Colts, Eagles-Commanders, Vikings-Packers, Dolphins-Raiders, Chargers-Cardinals, Cowboys-Giants and Chiefs-Broncos games, including a 27-10 Eagles score.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
66.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
73.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'll give the Bengals a win, but I'm going with a three and a half for Tampa Bay.
Jason McIntyre, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode
THE HERD – HOUR 2 – NFL Week 1 Picks: Eagles, Cowboys, Chiefs | Caleb Williams Maturing
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 2
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 10“Next up, Commanders Eagles... I like Philly here in, you know, a 27-10 Eagles role.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals“Give me the Arizona Cardinals getting 10 and a half against the Chargers. I like the Chargers to win, but are they going to win by more than 10 and a half?”
  3. 3Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay“Bucks, Bengals... I'll give the Bengals a win, but I'm going with a three and a half for Tampa Bay.”
  4. 4Minnesota Vikings to beat Green Bay Packers“Minnesota Vikings. Minus one and a half against the reeling Green Bay Packers... I believe they take down the Packers in an impressive win”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 101Score PredictionsEagles 24–2264.2993.97−59.37
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals2Game Outcome PicksCardinals 26–14000
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay3Game Outcome PicksBengals 33–271001000
Minnesota Vikings to beat Green Bay Packers4Game Outcome PicksVikings 39–221001000
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled66.173.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 66.1 out of 100, against 73.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 10

    What happenedEagles 24–22called Eagles by 17 · won by 2
    64.29Close · naive 93.97
    64.29this call93.97a naive guess−29.68worse than naive2difficulty−59.37skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-24
    skill:
    −59.37
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    93.97
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −0.53
    predicted margin:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 26–14Cardinals at Chargers
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay

    What happenedBengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Green Bay Packers

    What happenedVikings 39–22Packers at Vikings
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    22-39
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    66.1naive 73.5

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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