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John MaakaronAug 26, 2026

Maakaron suggests several Lions players could be cut and land on other rosters: linebacker Joe Bachie, defensive linemen Ben Stille and Chris Smith, and running back Sione Vaki.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What John Maakaron said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
A few players that could find landing spots elsewhere include lineback Joe Bachie, defensive lineman Ben Stille, defensive lineman Chris Smith and running back Sione Vaki.
John Maakaron, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Detroit Lions Expect to Cut Players Who Will Help Other NFL Teams
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 26
  2. GradedSep 23–Oct 27
  1. 1Chris Smith to move to Detroit Lions“A few players that could find landing spots elsewhere include lineback Joe Bachie, defensive lineman Ben Stille, defensive lineman Chris Smith and running back Sione Vaki.”
  2. 2Joe Bachie to move to Detroit Lions“A few players that could find landing spots elsewhere include lineback Joe Bachie, defensive lineman Ben Stille, defensive lineman Chris Smith and running back Sione Vaki.”
  3. 3Sione Vaki to move to Detroit Lions“A few players that could find landing spots elsewhere include lineback Joe Bachie, defensive lineman Ben Stille, defensive lineman Chris Smith and running back Sione Vaki.”
  4. 4Ben Stille to move to Detroit Lions“A few players that could find landing spots elsewhere include lineback Joe Bachie, defensive lineman Ben Stille, defensive lineman Chris Smith and running back Sione Vaki.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chris Smith to move to Detroit Lions1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Joe Bachie to move to Detroit Lions2Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with DET1000+200
Sione Vaki to move to Detroit Lions3Trade and Signing Calls————
Ben Stille to move to Detroit Lions4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsChris SmithDetroit Lions

    Chris Smith to move to Detroit Lions

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Chris Smith
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    DET
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    released (from DET)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJoe BachieDetroit Lions

    Joe Bachie to move to Detroit Lions

    What happenedEnded up with DETcalled DET
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Joe Bachie
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    DET
    was with:
    IND/TEN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    DET
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsSione VakiDetroit Lions

    Sione Vaki to move to Detroit Lions

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsBen StilleDetroit Lions

    Ben Stille to move to Detroit Lions

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 0

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

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