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Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell· Oct 29, 2026

Connor said the Packers would win the Thursday night game but only narrowly, floating a 27-24 final with a Trey Smack game-winning kick.

“Feels like maybe a trace map get back, game winner, twenty seven twenty four, something like that.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 88.1 out of 100, against 79.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Green Bay Packers 27 — Panthers 24

    “Packers win. Three and a half is just a weird number. Feels like maybe a trace map get back, game winner, twenty seven twenty four, something like that.”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 79.94+13.13 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    13.13
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Packers by 3) and more points (51).

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