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Vito Chirco· Oct 4, 2026

Chirco predicts Detroit leaves Charlotte with a Week 4 win because of Carolina's heavy injury list, especially at cornerback and on the offensive line.

“As a result, I believe Dan Campbell's squad leaves Charlotte with the Week 4 victory.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 40.5 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Detroit Lions 34 — Panthers 24

    “I believe Dan Campbell's squad leaves Charlotte with the Week 4 victory. Lions 34, Panthers 24”

    Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 88.1-87.14 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    −87.14
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    88.1
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    10

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