Skip to main content

Gilberto Manzano#55 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2026

Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Dolphins 28–25What happenedDolphins at Jets
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#55Gilberto Manzano’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gilberto Manzano said

Our reading: New York Jets to beat Dolphins

Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Dolphins-Jets Week 7 National Predictions Roundup: Any More Miami Believers?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 24
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksNew York Jets

    New York Jets to beat Dolphins

    What happenedDolphins 28–25Dolphins at Jets
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIA
    score:
    28-25
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.