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SI Video StaffOct 19, 2026

Despite the 2-4 start and the loss to Arizona, the Rams are defended as a good team that will make the playoffs and be a factor in January, with the upcoming four-game stretch against the Raiders, Chargers, Commanders and Cardinals seen as four winnable games that would put them at 6-4.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
2Waitingnot graded yet

What SI Video Staff said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
This team is gonna be good. They're gonna be in the playoffs.
SI Video Staff, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
The Super Bowl-Favorite Rams Just Lost to One of the League’s Worst Teams
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 19
  2. PlayedOct 25–Nov 8
  3. GradedOct 26–Nov 8
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders“At Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, at Cardinals. ... Does that not look like 6 and 4?”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“At Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, at Cardinals. ... Does that not look like 6 and 4?”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders“At Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, at Cardinals. ... Does that not look like 6 and 4?”
  4. 4Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs“This team is gonna be good. They're gonna be in the playoffs. They're still one of the best teams in the NFL.”
  5. 5Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals“At Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, at Cardinals. All due respect to the Cardinals, what they just did to the Rams. Does that not look like 6 and 4?”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders1Game Outcome PicksRams 20–131000+172
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers2Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders3Game Outcome PicksRams 35–211000+172
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs4Playoff Picks————
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals5Game Outcome Picks————
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 waiting10033.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders

    What happenedRams 20–13Rams at Commanders
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders

    What happenedRams 35–21Rams at Raiders
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    35-21
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Playoff PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 33.3

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.