Patrick ClaybonJun 5, 2025

Claybon's ten picks in the best-wide-receivers draft (overall picks 2, 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26 and 29), led by Justin Jefferson at No. 2 and Puka Nacua at No. 5, with a notably aggressive Tyreek Hill selection at No. 8. They also framed DeVonta Smith and Tee Higgins as No. 2 receivers on their teams.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled

78.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

80.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 3Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Patrick Claybon said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I will take Justin Jefferson as college teammate of Jamar Chase at number two.

Patrick Claybon, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Aaron Rodgers Signs and Top-30 Wide Receivers in the NFL
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJun 5, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Top Player Lists“Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin Jefferson (2), Puka Nacua (5), Tyreek Hill (8), Terry McLaurin (11), Davante Adams (14), DeVonta Smith (17), Tee Higgins (20), Chris Olave (23), Courtland Sutton (26), Jameson Williams (29)”
2DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart“I'll take the number two. I'll take Davonte Smith here at number seventeen... the fact that he's sharing those targets with AJ Brown”
3Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart“I'm gonna take another number two. I'm gonna take t Higgins here at this point”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
“Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin…”¹	Top Player Lists	—	35.15	50	−29.7
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	100	91.67	+16.67
Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart³	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	100	100	0
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled			78.4	80.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 78.4 out of 100, against 80.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Top Player Lists
“Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin Jefferson (2), Puka Nacua (5), Tyreek Hill (8), Terry McLaurin (11), Davante Adams (14), DeVonta Smith (17), Tee Higgins (20), Chris Olave (23), Courtland Sutton (26), Jameson Williams (29)”
VerdictMiss
35.15Miss · naive 50
35.15this call50a naive guess−14.85worse than naive2difficulty−29.7skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
−29.7
placed:
10
season:
2025
players:
10
accuracy:
35.15
baseline:
50
by position:
WR 10: 35.15
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls DeVonta Smith Philadelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by receptions
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
16.67
player:
DeVonta Smith
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Depth Chart Calls Tee Higgins Cincinnati Bengals
Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by receptions
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
0
player:
Tee Higgins
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
78.4naive 80.6

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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