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Alex HouseAug 21, 2026

House predicts Abdul Carter's 66 pressures last season point to a jump in sack production in 2026, and says tight end Thomas Fidone II and cornerback Korie Black will struggle to make the final roster.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Alex House said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The former Penn State star outside linebacker recorded only four sacks, but his 66 total pressures foretell a spike in productivity this year.
Alex House, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Giants' Rebuild Rests on 2025 Draft Class, PFF Says — Here's What Dart, Carter and Co. Need to Prove
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 20
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Thomas Fidone II to make the roster“Tight end Thomas Fidone II and cornerback Korie Black round out this class, but they will be hard-pressed to make the final roster.”
  2. 2Korie Black to make the roster“Tight end Thomas Fidone II and cornerback Korie Black round out this class, but they will be hard-pressed to make the final roster.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Thomas Fidone II to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Korie Black to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsThomas Fidone IINew York Giants

    Thomas Fidone II to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Thomas Fidone II
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.