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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 1, 2026

Filling in for Colin, McIntyre gave Week 1 picks: Rams over the Niners in Australia, Texans over the Bills, Bears over the Panthers, Steelers over the Falcons, Titans over the Jets, and Lions over the Saints. They also have the Texans reaching and winning the Super Bowl, thinks the 49ers win eight or nine games, and says they bet Joe Burrow to win MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 6calls landed3 hits · 3 misses · 2 waiting · 1 too vague to check
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

You guys know, I got the Texans in the Super Bowl, so I've got the Texans winning this game.
Jason McIntyre, the lead quote
The episode
THE HERD – HOUR 2 – NFL Week 1 Picks: Patriots, Rams, Bears | Caleb Williams Rising
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 1
  2. PlayedSep 10–13
  3. GradedSep 12–15

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingToo vagueCalls
Game Outcome Picks30300
Super Bowl Picks00010
Season Win Totals00001
Award Picks00010
All30321

How each call scored

9 claims — 6 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 season win total and 1 super bowl pick — the 8 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of the 8 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks3 hits · 3 missesShow ▸
  1. Houston Texans to beat Bills

    “Then the real good game, Bill's Texans... I've got the Texans winning this game.”

    Houston Texans

    Bills 36–31Bills at Texans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Detroit Lions to beat Saints

    “I'll take the Lions favored by six and a half.”

    Detroit Lions

    Lions 31–30Saints at Lions
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    30-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons

    “falcon steelers i went chalky here i went pittsburgh favor by three... I'll take the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers.”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Steelers 20–13Falcons at Steelers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Chicago Bears to beat Panthers

    “So under three, I'm going to go with the Bears here reluctantly... I'll go Bears favored by two and a half.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 59–37Bears at Panthers
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Tennessee Titans to beat Jets

    “Sala gets revenge and Titans beat my Jets... I'll take the Titans.”

    Tennessee Titans

    Jets 23–10Jets at Titans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYJ
    score:
    23-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Los Angeles Rams to beat Niners

    “Next up, Niners Rams. This is next Thursday in Australia... I'm going with the Rams here. Favorite by three and a half”

    Los Angeles Rams

    49ers 27–749ers at Rams
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl

    “You guys know, I got the Texans in the Super Bowl... So I like the Texans. I think they're Super Bowl worthy this year.”

    Houston Texans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals · 1 too vague to checkShow ▸
  1. “And, you know, the Niners might win eight or nine.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Too vague to check

    Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.

Award Picks1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Joe Burrow to win MVP

    “Because I actually bet Burrow to win the MVP this year, like plus 850 or something like that.”

    Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.