Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Tyler Sullivan· Oct 5, 2026

Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24.

“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Falcons 26-24 over Saints”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 54.8 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Atlanta Falcons 26 — Saints 24

    “Tyler Sullivan's pick: Falcons 26-24 over Saints”

    Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 1.56+97.35 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-24
    skill:
    97.35
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    1.56
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.66
    predicted margin:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these