Marcus Mosher#41 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 10, 2024
Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way they suggest the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
What Marcus Mosher said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2024 NFL Week 2 Power Rankings: Lions Solidify Top 3 Spot, Packers Tumble | The 33rd Team
- The original
- The copy as archived Sep 10, 2024
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidSep 10, 2024
- GradedAug 5–Oct 1, 2026
- 1Power Rankings“NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
- 2Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division“The Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.”
- 3Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart“It feels like it's only a matter of when, not if, Drew Lock will take over for Jones under center.”
- 4Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs“The Chargers are still a year away from being a legit contender in the AFC, but they have the look of a potential wild-card team right away.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32.…”1 | Power Rankings | — | 72.36 | 67.19 | +10.03 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 100 | −16.17 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +194 | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 91 | 66.8 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 91 out of 100, against 66.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
VerdictClose72.36Close · naive 67.1972.36this call−67.19a naive guess=5.17better than naive×1.94difficulty=+10.03skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 10.03
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 72.36
- baseline:
- 67.19
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Division WinnersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.94difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- won the division:
- yes
3Depth Chart CallsDrew LockNew York Giants
Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 10091.67this call−100a naive guess=−8.33worse than naive×1.94difficulty=−16.17skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- −16.17
- player:
- Drew Lock
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
4Playoff PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.94difficulty=+194skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 194
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
91naive 66.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.