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Rob Gronkowski· Feb 7, 2025

Gronkowski picked the Chiefs to beat the Eagles 30-26, with Mahomes driving for a late touchdown after Kansas City trailed 26-23 with two minutes left.

“So I'm going with the Kansas City Chiefs to score 30, and the Philadelphia Eagles to, score 26”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 16.7 out of 100, against 62.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia Eagles 26

    “So I'm going with the Kansas City Chiefs to score 30, and the Philadelphia Eagles to, score 26, and I'm gonna go even deeper into it. Yeah. It's gonna be 26, 23.”

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 62.56-45.9 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    -45.9
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    62.56
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    4

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