Marcus RaySep 17, 2026

Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bucs (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting

19.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call

42.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

1Games calledeveryone’s picks below

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Marcus Ray said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm a go 30 to 13.

Marcus Ray, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Locked On Bucs (podcast)
The episode: BUCS SQUAD SHOW: Bucs Biggest Concern? | Browns Preview & Week 2 Predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 16
PlayedSep 20
GradedSep 29

1Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13“I I'm I'm I'm I'm a go 30 to 13... Because I'm thinking three touchdowns, three field goals for the, Bucks... 30 to 13 for me is what I got.”
2Los Angeles Chargers to beat a Jim Harbaugh team“But you know what? I'm gonna go with my Raiders... And and they can go out there and, you know, knock off a Jim Harbaugh team... Raiders get out to a two and o start.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13¹	Score Predictions	Browns 23–19	19.05	42.56	−45.61
Los Angeles Chargers to beat a Jim Harbaugh team²	Game Outcome Picks	—	—	—	—
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting			19.1	42.6

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 19.1 out of 100, against 42.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13
What happenedBrowns 23–19called Buccaneers by 17 · lost by 4
19.05Miss · naive 42.56
19.05this call42.56a naive guess−23.51worse than naive1.94difficulty−45.61skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Buccaneers by 8.5, total 41.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 17) and more points (43).
How this was scored
score:
23-19
skill:
−45.61
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
42.56
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
17
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2Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat a Jim Harbaugh team
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?