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Marcus Ray· Sep 17, 2026

Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.

“I'm a go 30 to 13.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bucs (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 19.1 out of 100, against 42.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13

    “I I'm I'm I'm I'm a go 30 to 13... Because I'm thinking three touchdowns, three field goals for the, Bucks... 30 to 13 for me is what I got.”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 42.56-45.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    -45.61
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    42.56
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    17

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  • Los Angeles Chargers to beat a Jim Harbaugh team

    “But you know what? I'm gonna go with my Raiders... And and they can go out there and, you know, knock off a Jim Harbaugh team... Raiders get out to a two and o start.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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