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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 10, 2026

JP Acosta laid out his full quarterback tier rankings for the NFL, from a top 'Mahomesian' tier (Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen) down to a 'limited upside' tier, and named Mahomes the best QB in the league, Burrow fourth, Herbert fifth, and Caleb Williams his 10th-best quarterback.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting6 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 6Settled6 still waiting
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
My top tier is called Mahomesian... And I have Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in that tier.
JP Acosta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL QB Tier Rankings For The 2026 Season 👀
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1Joe Burrow to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards“I think Joe Burrow has rightfully earned that spot as being the fourth best quarterback in the NFL to me”
  2. 2Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart“I'm very curious on what the Dolphins' offense is gonna look like with Malik Willis as their quarterback”
  3. 3Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards“Patrick Mahomes, who is the best quarterback in the NFL still”
  4. 4Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards“But I still think he is if there's a QB five in the NFL, Justin Herbert is very comfortable at QB five.”
  5. 5Top Player Lists“Tiers given across the show: Mahomesian (Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen); elite of the elite (Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert); aging vets (Stafford, Dak Prescott); certified hoopers (Drake May, Jordan Love); borderline top 10 (Trevor Lawrence, Caleb Williams, CJ Stroud, Jaden Daniels, Sam Darnold, Jared Goff); game manager compliment (Baker Mayfield, Bo Nix, Jalen Hertz, Brock Purdy, Aaron Rodgers, Daniel Jones); high variance (Kyler Murray, Bryce Young, Michael Panix junior, Jackson Dart, Cam Ward); watching your career with great interest (Fernando Mendoza, Tyler Shuck, Malik Willis); limited upside (Shidoor Sanders, Deshaun Watson, Jacoby Brissett, Tua Tagayo Vailoa, Mac Jones).”
  6. 6Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards“You gotta pick your end of the top 10 here... I'm going to go with Caleb Williams”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Joe Burrow to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards1Positional Finishes————
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards3Positional Finishes————
Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards4Positional Finishes————
“Tiers given across the show: Mahomesian (Mahomes, Lamar…”5Top Player Lists————
Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards6Positional Finishes————
6 calls · 6 waiting——

How each call scored

6 checkable claims — 4 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 3.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the room

positional finish
4They said
2The room (3 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Positional FinishesJoe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

    Joe Burrow to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsMalik WillisMiami Dolphins

    Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Positional FinishesPatrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Positional FinishesJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers

    Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Top Player Lists

    “Tiers given across the show: Mahomesian (Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen); elite of the elite (Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert); aging vets (Stafford, Dak Prescott); certified hoopers (Drake May, Jordan Love); borderline top 10 (Trevor Lawrence, Caleb Williams, CJ Stroud, Jaden Daniels, Sam Darnold, Jared Goff); game manager compliment (Baker Mayfield, Bo Nix, Jalen Hertz, Brock Purdy, Aaron Rodgers, Daniel Jones); high variance (Kyler Murray, Bryce Young, Michael Panix junior, Jackson Dart, Cam Ward); watching your career with great interest (Fernando Mendoza, Tyler Shuck, Malik Willis); limited upside (Shidoor Sanders, Deshaun Watson, Jacoby Brissett, Tua Tagayo Vailoa, Mac Jones).”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Positional FinishesCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.